Package: RtForecastR Type: Package Title: Real-Time Effective Reproduction Number Estimation and Forecasting Version: 0.1.1 Authors@R: c( person("Raj", "Subedi", email = "rajsubediresearch@gmail.com", role = c("aut", "cre", "cph"), comment = "Copyright holder for all files except epiFilter.R, epiSmoother.R, and the original recursPredict.R logic (see Kris V. Parag entry); author of R/recursPredict.R's configurable-grid maxI extension and R/recursPredictQuantiles.R"), person("Kris V.", "Parag", role = c("ctb", "cph"), comment = "Author/copyright holder of the original EpiFilter algorithm (epiFilter, epiSmoother, recursPredict); files R/epiFilter.R, R/epiSmoother.R and R/recursPredict.R are unmodified or lightly modified ports of that work, released under GPL-3")) Description: Filtered (real-time/causal) and smoothed (retrospective) estimation of the time-varying effective reproduction number (Rt) from case-count time series, using the EpiFilter algorithm of Parag (2021) , together with a one-step-ahead in-sample prediction check, a genuine out-of-sample one-step forecast with predictive intervals, elimination probability P(Rt < 1), and forecast calibration metrics (mean absolute error, mean squared error, root mean squared error, empirical coverage, and the weighted interval score of Bracher et al. (2021) ). Disease-agnostic: works for any pathogen given a known generation interval. Language: en-US License: GPL-3 Encoding: UTF-8 LazyData: true Depends: R (>= 3.5) Imports: graphics, grDevices, stats, utils Suggests: testthat (>= 3.0.0), knitr, rmarkdown Config/testthat/edition: 3 RoxygenNote: 8.0.0 Roxygen: list(markdown = TRUE) VignetteBuilder: knitr URL: https://github.com/rajsubediresearch/RtForecastR BugReports: https://github.com/rajsubediresearch/RtForecastR/issues Repository: https://rajsubediresearch.r-universe.dev Date/Publication: 2026-08-20 21:36:43 UTC RemoteUrl: https://github.com/rajsubediresearch/rtforecastr RemoteRef: HEAD RemoteSha: 8b99148c5d124a6604359af48c719c46d7c95cef NeedsCompilation: no Packaged: 2026-09-20 09:02:18 UTC; root Author: Raj Subedi [aut, cre, cph] (Copyright holder for all files except epiFilter.R, epiSmoother.R, and the original recursPredict.R logic (see Kris V. Parag entry); author of R/recursPredict.R's configurable-grid maxI extension and R/recursPredictQuantiles.R), Kris V. Parag [ctb, cph] (Author/copyright holder of the original EpiFilter algorithm (epiFilter, epiSmoother, recursPredict); files R/epiFilter.R, R/epiSmoother.R and R/recursPredict.R are unmodified or lightly modified ports of that work, released under GPL-3) Maintainer: Raj Subedi